Archive for category Election 2012

What Did Petraeus Know and When Did He Know It?

Michael Collins
Creative Commons

(Washington, DC, 11/15) The bitterness of the neocons knows no limit.  They’re still having tantrums after being denied the unchallenged ability to pillage and plunder at will (and at our expense).  Never mind that the public doesn’t want to hear it.  The Congressional Republicans are jumping up and down over their big question:  When did President Obama know about the affair between General Petraeus and Mrs. Broadwell? Talk about a misguided salvage operation.  Their inquiries will spark some questions that they won’t want asked. (Image)

The real questions concern the behavior and motivation of General Petraeus in the aftermath of the murder of the United States ambassador to Libya, Christopher Stevens, on September 11, 2012.

When did General Petraeus know the sequence of events that preceded the murder of United States Ambassador Stevens, indicating the likely motivation for the murder?

The Petraeus CIA provided inaccurate information about events on the ground to the Obama Administration, particularly to President Obama and United Nations Ambassador Susan Rice. Did they know it was inaccurate?

If the Petraeus CIA mislead or withheld information from the White House or allowed that to happen, was it in the service of the Romney campaign or those clamoring for an attack on Iran? Read the rest of this entry »

Post to Twitter Tweet This Post

Share

Part II – Rigged Elections for Romney?

Michael Collins

Photobucket
Part I of this series suggested that there may well have been massive vote flipping for candidate Mitt Romney in the Republican primaries (Rigged Elections for Romney (10/22/12)  The article and the initial research analysis were received broadly.  In addition, highly motivated citizens across the country and a team of high school students contacted the authors for help replicating the research in their states.  The researchers, Francois et al., point out that this can be done with their open source techniques.

The basic argument is straightforward.  If you look at precinct level voting data arranged from the smallest to the largest precincts, you will see Romney’s gains increasing substantially as the cumulative vote increases.  For example, Ohio and Wisconsin show this clearly as do eleven other states presented here.  This extraordinary vote gain from smallest to largest precincts is so out of line, that the probability that this would happen by chance alone is often less than 1 out of a number represented by 1 preceded by 100 zeros and a decimal point, a value beneath the statistical package’s lower limits.  As a result, the researchers termed the suspected vote flipping for Romney the “amazing anomaly.” (The Amazing Statistical Anomaly) Read the rest of this entry »

Post to Twitter Tweet This Post

Share

Tags: , , , ,

Boy Band Member Seeks VP Spot

The dream emerges…

Post to Twitter Tweet This Post

Share

Tags: , , ,

It’s 100% probability for Obama right now (could change, of course)

I have been an admirer and fan of Richard Charnin’s work on election forecasting (TruthIsAll) and election fraud since 2004. This is his latest. It’s based on the most recent polls so the 100% can drop (although, I’m told, it cannot increase, regardless of Romney’s foolishness.
 
9/19/ 2012 Presidential True Vote/Election Fraud Simulation Model:Obama 320 EV; 100% Win Probability
By Richard Charnin
Sept.19, 2012
From Richard Charnin’s Blog
Posted with the permission of the author

The analysis assumes that the election is held on the latest poll date.
2012 Presidential True Vote and Monte Carlo Simulation Forecast Model

Forecast Summary

Obama has jumped to a commanding 49-44% lead in the latest state polls and has 320 expected electoral votes based on the win probabilities. The 500 trial Monte Carlo simulation indicates that if the election were held today, he would have a 100% probability of winning the electoral vote (he won all 500 election simulation trials). But it’s still too early to project him a winner. (Image)
Read the rest of this entry »

Post to Twitter Tweet This Post

Share

Tags: , ,

Repblicans to 47% – You are “parasites”

Michael Collins

These are possibly the most cruel and offensive words by a candidate’s surrogate in any election that I can recall.

“There are makers and takers, there are producers and there are parasites,” she said. Americans can distinguish between those who have produced and paid in through no fault of their own and because of Obama’s horrible polices who cannot get a job or are underemployed. That’s what the campaign is about.“  Mary Matalin September 19, 2012

Who are the 47%?

About half of those folks are basically exempt from federal income taxes because they are low-income and also may have large families, according to the Tax Policy Center, a project of the Urban Institute and Brookings Institution.

The other half are exempted because of other provisions in the tax code, including seniors who live off Social Security or people who were able to zero out their federal income tax liability with itemized deductions such as charitable donations, or tax code features such as the child tax credit.  Life Inc on Today

So when to Mitt and Mary and all the rest of the callous, uninformed elitists apologize?

Never!  We are nothing to them.  They just need enough of us to swallow their fear tactics of divide and conquer and they’ll implement the final beat down on the citizens of this country.

 

Post to Twitter Tweet This Post

Share

Tags: , , , , , ,

Romney, ROFL, please stop, you’re killing me — middle class $200,000 a year

This guy is doing performance art. It’s a variation on Andy Kaufman’s angry at the audience routine. (or is it real?). It’s hard to tell what’s real. Romney is supposed to be the data-driven candidate. Well, here’s Mitt interviewed by George Stephanopoulos via The Young Turks:

“Is $100,000 middle-income?” Stephanopoulos asked.
“No, middle-income is $200,000 to $250,000 and less,” Romney responded.

<

Romney doesn’t know where the center is.  Here’s a chart on median income for 2009.  Only 21% of the households have an income above $100,000 and that’s a $100,000 short of the middle class.   Romney’s middle class must be really small.  At $100,000 a year in household income, you are in the 94th percentile for household income.
Read the rest of this entry »

Post to Twitter Tweet This Post

Share

Tags: , , ,

Real Unemployment at 23% – Dampening the Excitement

There was a shadow over the national conventions of both political parties.  The people know that the economy is much worse than anyone in the power structure will admit.  As usual, the people are right.  The real rate of unemployment is 23%, not the official figures we hear on a regular basis.  The 23% figure  represents all of those unemployed no matter how long, the involuntarily under employed (part time), and those who have given up looking, the discouraged, due to an chronically arid job market.   If either wing of The Money Party, Democratic or Republican, admits to the the real unemployment situation,  they would be forced to admit a complete system failure and compelled to act now.  There would be no choice but to drop the nonsense about austerity and balanced budgets.

Here is how the fantasy of the official unemployment figure works.

Official unemployment  includes those who are both unemployed during the week of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) survey and without a job for the prior four weeks.

The official unemployment number we see excludes those marginally attached to the labor force, discouraged workers, and those working part time due to the absence of full time work. The Alternative unemployment statistic is always higher than the official version. It includes most of the unemployed but excludes discouraged workers after twelve months without a job (See Appendix).  In the chart above, you will see the official government unemployment number (U-3), the alternative number (U-6), and the shadowstats.com figure, which includes U-3 and U-6 plus  all those unemployed who have given up. That represents 23% of the work force. (Graph Courtesy of Shadowstats.Com Shadow Government Statistics – John Williams)

How can citizens make responsible decisions when the official unemployment rate, 8.1%, is just 35% of the real unemployment rate, 23%?

Who benefits?

Read the rest of this entry »

Post to Twitter Tweet This Post

Share

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,