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Archive for category Elections

Violations Prevail in Egypt’s Constitutional Referendum

Dec 19

Posted by Michael Collins in Arab Spring, Egypt, Election Fraud, Elections, Middle East | Comments off

By: Rana Mamdouh

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Published Tuesday, December 18, 2012
ALAKHBAR, Beirut, Lebanon

Cairo – The official results of the first round of Egypt’s constitutional referendum have yet to be released, but arguments over the outcome have already begun. Forces opposed to Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) insist that voters rejected the draft constitution by 66 percent. Morsi’s supporters, on the other hand, insist that the result was in their favor with 56.55 percent approving the constitution.

These contradictory reports come amidst silence from the supreme committee charged with supervising the constitutional referendum. Officials maintain that results will not be disclosed until the second round of voting, scheduled to take place next Saturday, 22 December 2012.

The numerous violations and irregularities reported during election day prompted civil political forces to protest again today in Tahrir Square and even in front of al-Ittihadiya presidential palace. From there, protesters headed to the headquarters of the supreme committee for supervising the constitutional referendum and demanded a re-vote. Read the rest of this entry »

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Part II – Rigged Elections for Romney?

Oct 31

Posted by Michael Collins in Big Money, Election 2012, Election Fraud, Elections | 2 Comments

Michael Collins

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Part I of this series suggested that there may well have been massive vote flipping for candidate Mitt Romney in the Republican primaries (Rigged Elections for Romney (10/22/12)  The article and the initial research analysis were received broadly.  In addition, highly motivated citizens across the country and a team of high school students contacted the authors for help replicating the research in their states.  The researchers, Francois et al., point out that this can be done with their open source techniques.

The basic argument is straightforward.  If you look at precinct level voting data arranged from the smallest to the largest precincts, you will see Romney’s gains increasing substantially as the cumulative vote increases.  For example, Ohio and Wisconsin show this clearly as do eleven other states presented here.  This extraordinary vote gain from smallest to largest precincts is so out of line, that the probability that this would happen by chance alone is often less than 1 out of a number represented by 1 preceded by 100 zeros and a decimal point, a value beneath the statistical package’s lower limits.  As a result, the researchers termed the suspected vote flipping for Romney the “amazing anomaly.” (The Amazing Statistical Anomaly) Read the rest of this entry »

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Behold a pale horse … Mitt’s fatal flaw

Jan 22

Posted by Michael Collins in Big Money, Elections, Populism | Comments off

By Michael Collins

Bionic candidate Mitt Romney went from inevitable to simply evitable thanks to South Carolina Republican primary voters. With 600,000 voting, turnout was up 34% over 2008. Ninety eight percent of voters were white. This is even less representative of the nation than Iowa and New Hampshire. But that’s how things work in this democracy

The South Carolina exit poll (sponsored by the mainstream media) had a new question for voters as they left their polling places. They were asked if they had a positive or negative opinion of Mitt Romney’s background as an investor. Investor refers to Romney’s time as an investment banker with Bain Capital and can be taken as a proxy for a pro or anti-Wall Street/financial elite stance.

The results indicate what may turn into a fatal flaw in the Romney campaign. Sixty four percent of voters had a positive view of Romney as an investor with 28% negative. However, Gingrich won 50% of those who had a negative view of Romney’s wheeler-dealer days as an investor. Romney took only 3% of voters who had a negative view of his role as an investor.  Mitt can’t buy an anti-wall Street vote.

Gingrich’s skillfully applied phony populism produced around 80,000 votes based on the results for the investor question. His margin of victory over Romney was 76,000. The issue is potent and will be repeated in upcoming contests.
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Why are Democrats Attacking Ron Paul?

Jan 4

Posted by Michael Collins in Big Money, Elections, Recession/Depression | Comments off


Bloggers sympathetic to the Democratic Party are revving up attacks on Ron Paul. After last night’s strong performance in the Iowa Republican caucus, there will be even more incentive to go after Paul who finished a strong third in Iowa despite the typical indifference of the corporate media. (Image from video: Antiwar ad for Paul)

Democrat’s generally rely on taking a majority share of independent voters to win national elections. With the supposed partisan split in the electorate, voters identified as independents are even more important this year as a key to winning any national election.

In 2008, increased registrations prior to the general election were primarily by those identifying themselves as Democrats and independents. President Obama took 41% of those identified as independents in the 2008 Iowa Caucuses. His Iowa win established credibility that allowed him to survive losses in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania. His triumphal procession through Mid-Atlantic States that followed those losses might not have happened without those Iowa independents providing an early win.

The Ron Paul numbers from the CNN Entrance Poll show an appeal to traditionally Democratic groups critical to the 2012 general election.  (An entrance poll surveys voters on voting preference and demographics before they vote). The Republican independents may not be a perfect match for independents in 2008. However, where else could Iowa independents vote yesterday?
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Cain’s ‘Lynching’ Defense Problem…Thomas Lied

Nov 8

Posted by Michael Collins in Big Money, Constitution, Corruption, Criminal Justice, Elections | Comments off

By Andrew Kreig

Reposted with the permission of the author
Herman CainGOP Presidential candidate Herman Cain describes himself as a victim of a “high-tech lynching” — not a playboy chasing women on his staff, as four have claimed, most recently on Nov. 7. Cain’s “lynching” defense is modeled on the one his friend, Clarence Thomas, used so effectively in 1991 to deflect sexual harassment charges from Anita Hill and thereby win a lifetime appointment on the Supreme Court. Cain’s ad has helped him raise $1.2 million in the past week, he told CNN, and buttressed his support among conservatives.

But Cain has a larger problem, aside from Sharon Bialek, a fourth accuser who just surfaced:

Clarence Thomas perjured himself when he used the slogan to defend himself in his 1991 Senate testimony, according to evidence that I’ve been writing about for the Justice Integrity Project. Thomas Must Resign, Says Former Judge, Lover is among my columns. Beyond the sex allegations, the parallels threaten to tarnish Cain with financial misconduct claims against Thomas — who is the subject of a current effort to force his resignation, federal prosecution and impeachment for financial crimes relating to the kinds of billionaire backers who are now supporting Cain. Thus, Cain’s efforts to save himself by playing the “lynching” race card has the unintended consequence of linking the friends and their financial backers at a bad time.
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DE-EVOLUTION in Ohio – Why Republican Governors Keep Getting Worse

Sep 25

Posted by Michael Collins in Big Money, Corruption, Elections | 2 Comments

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Hacking Our Elections With Big Money And Power

Aug 23

Posted by Michael Collins in Big Money, Elections, People's Revolution, Populism | 3 Comments

by Michael Collins and Sheila Parks, Ed.D.

The formula for modern elections is simple.

Candidates must have significant sums of money to compete in primaries. That means anyone absent real money is left out. More importantly, those with the most money have the biggest advantage. Combining money with favorable media is generally a sure winner. (Image: Dean Terry)

Republican Scott Walker outspent Democrat Tom Barrett by nearly a two to one margin, $11 million to $6.7 million. With one exception, the most expensive races for Wisconsin’s legislature were won by the best funded candidates. But money isn’t the main problem. The fundamental problem with campaign financing is not the money itself, it’s the commitments firmly attached to the donors.
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