Posts Tagged austerity

Real Unemployment at 23% – Dampening the Excitement

There was a shadow over the national conventions of both political parties.  The people know that the economy is much worse than anyone in the power structure will admit.  As usual, the people are right.  The real rate of unemployment is 23%, not the official figures we hear on a regular basis.  The 23% figure  represents all of those unemployed no matter how long, the involuntarily under employed (part time), and those who have given up looking, the discouraged, due to an chronically arid job market.   If either wing of The Money Party, Democratic or Republican, admits to the the real unemployment situation,  they would be forced to admit a complete system failure and compelled to act now.  There would be no choice but to drop the nonsense about austerity and balanced budgets.

Here is how the fantasy of the official unemployment figure works.

Official unemployment  includes those who are both unemployed during the week of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) survey and without a job for the prior four weeks.

The official unemployment number we see excludes those marginally attached to the labor force, discouraged workers, and those working part time due to the absence of full time work. The Alternative unemployment statistic is always higher than the official version. It includes most of the unemployed but excludes discouraged workers after twelve months without a job (See Appendix).  In the chart above, you will see the official government unemployment number (U-3), the alternative number (U-6), and the shadowstats.com figure, which includes U-3 and U-6 plus  all those unemployed who have given up. That represents 23% of the work force. (Graph Courtesy of Shadowstats.Com Shadow Government Statistics – John Williams)

How can citizens make responsible decisions when the official unemployment rate, 8.1%, is just 35% of the real unemployment rate, 23%?

Who benefits?

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Eurozone just about 100 percent in favor of pro-growth strategy, dumping austerity

German Chancellor Angela Merkel is like a phlegmatic dominatrix. She enjoys delivering pain, lots of it, but she does so in a sluggish fashion, without any flair.  She’s had a free ride for too long.  Now, her day has come.  Merkel is the last impediment to throwing austerity overboard in Europe and the United States.  Correction:  the last impediment to appearing to throw austerity overboard.

Obama gave up the rhetoric of austerity before the kickoff of his 2012 campaign.   His opening speech in Columbus, Ohio was so populist-infused; you might have thought he was campaigning against himself.

Newly elected President of France François Hollande arrived at the right time to lead the move away from austerity.  Andrew Grice of The Independent noted,The French leader said the EU had to consider all ways to increase growth. And eurobonds are part of the discussion.”

British Prime Minister David Cameron is trying o get his approval numbers in double digits agaub.  He’s fallen back on the once powerless Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg to cooperate with Europe on a growth based program.

This came just a day after leftist leader Alexis Tsipras reached out to Europeans with this undeniable truth:

“The public debt crisis is hitting the south of Europe but it will soon hit central Europe. People have to realise that their own country could be threatened.

“We are here to explain to people in Europe that we have nothing against them. We are fighting the battle in Greece not just for the Greek people but for people in France, Germany and all European countries.”

“I am not here to blackmail, I am here to mobilise,” he said. Guardian, May 21

See:

Eurozone set to abandon Greece – and austerity, Andrew Grice, The Independent May 23

Greece debt creating healthcare crisis, warn chemists Helena Smith, Guardian, May 23

At some point, maybe these leaders will get really serious and talk about the horrendous impact of the derivatives market and how it needs to be abolished.

 

 

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Germans say NO to austerity – Curtain falling on Merkel’s long Con


Angela Merkel is a pleasant practitioner of the art of suffering. She loves to share the crackpot notion that belt-tightening in times of Depression represents sound policy. Reminds me of Krugman’s statement of shock when, at a gathering of academic economists, he realized that about 1/2 of them knew little about John Manyard Keynes. Now Merkel is getting another message from the German public (this happened a few years ago but this is harsher).

Merkel’s party humiliated by shock election defeat
German voters reject austerity programme in favour of pro-growth opposition in state poll Tony Paterson, May 14, Berlin  The Independent

“Angela Merkel’s ruling conservatives suffered a humiliating defeat in key elections in Germany’s most populous state yesterday when voters rejected her party’s austerity policies and handed a resounding victory to her pro-growth Social Democratic Party opponents.

“Ms Merkel’s Christian Democrats were shell-shocked by the devastating result they returned in the poll in North Rhine Westphalia, which has a total population of 18 million. Exit polls showed that they secured a mere 25.5 per cent of the vote – their worst performance ever in the state.

“Germany’s conservative Environment Minister, Norbert Röttgen, the party’s candidate in the election, had mounted a vigorous campaign centred on Ms Merkel’s austerity policies, which aimed to cut the state’s €230 billion debt.

The conservatives in Germany deserve more than just electoral humiliation.  Look how they are visiting total humiliation on Greece, Spain, and Portugal.  Have no sympathy for these arrogant penny pinchers:

“Today is a very bitter day,” Mr Röttgen conceded last night. “We have been clearly defeated.” Read the rest of this entry »

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Brit Dom – Madame Says Murdoch Rag Hacked Phone to Protect Conservatives


“George Osborne insisted that the government would stick unwaveringly to its austerity plans, despite admitting that the long-term damage caused to the economy by the credit crunch was forcing him to revise down estimates for growth that were already weak.” The Guardian, September 6

A former Madame and dominatrix, Natalie Rowe, made high profile news yesterday in an interview with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Ms. Rowe said that her phone was hacked in 2005 just before the Daily Mirror did a story about her use of cocaine and other vice activities with Conservative Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne. The drug use and girls-for-hire action occurred, it is claimed, during and shortly after the time Osborne was a student at Oxford University and involved members of the elite Bullingdon drinking club.

Shut down in shame in July, Rupert Murdoch’s News of the World (NoW) got the intel on the Mirror story through a phone hack on Rowe’s phone. That resulted in what the Financial Times called a spoiler story. As the Mirror story broke, NoW’s campaign to discredit Rowe was in full swing.
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